I think YouTube’s valuation is irrelevant

by Mathew on October 1, 2006 · View Comments

Maybe it’s just been a slow period for “real” news from the blogosphere over the past few days, or maybe Mark Cuban’s comments about YouTube have stirred up some conflicting views about Web 2.0 and the New Bubble and that sort of thing, but there has certainly been a lot of back and forth about the issue since Megaphone Mark made his “moron” statement.

Fred Wilson of Union Square said he thinks YouTube is one of the best things to happen on the Internet over the past several years, which got a couple of people going — including my friend Rob Hyndman, who took issue with this statement, and got a response from Fred in his comments. Rob also got kind of riled up by Bob Lefsetz’s rant against Cuban, which had that kind of breathless, drunk-guy-with-a-sticky-caps-lock thing to it that Bob does so well, and so Rob helpfully advised him to “put down the bong.”

Unfortunately, there seem to be a whole bunch of tangential — and in many cases ad hominem — arguments getting in the way of this debate. Is Mark Cuban jealous because he wishes he had come up with YouTube? Is Fred Wilson just trying to hype something Web-related because he has a vested interest in another bubble, as Rob suggests in a comment on Fred’s most recent post? Has Bob Lefsetz been spending too much time with his hash-pipe recently? And so on.

To me, there’s a litle bit too much talk about how much YouTube will (or might) be worthl. I couldn’t care less. As was the case with Napster, I’d rather focus on how YouTube is changing (or could change) the old media model, just as Slingbox and other technologies are. And one of the ways it has done so has nothing to do with technology, as Jason Calacanis points out — and has everything to do with distribution. That’s where the real value lies.

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  • http://mhgoldberg.com/blog/2006/10/video-on-demand.html Telecom Trends

    his blog two weeks ago. Cuban believes that the downfall of YouTube is coming inevitably when rights holders see deep-pockets worth suing. For more discussion on the Cuban perspective, see Rob Hyndman (or Hyndman on YouTube part deux), Mark Evans and Mathew Ingram. Another scenario is possible. That YouTube becomes the generic brand, the Kleenex or iPod of video-on-demand. At school or over coffee you hear about a snippet or clever commercial? Find the replay on YouTube. Wardrobe malfunction at the awards

  • http://bizop.ca michael webster

    Of course you and everyone else cares about which valuation model is correct for youtube. The current debate is about how deal with the obvious copyright liability. But unlike pure audio, many of these videos have the ads in them and so the holder of the copyright is unlikely to complain too much. Now if the copyright holders can track the behaviour of individuals who view their content, well maybe there is a tradeoff in the making.

  • http://www.webomatica.com/wordpress/2006/10/01/youtube-its-the-pizza/ Webomatica

    YouTube: It’s the Pizza…

    It’s this week’s thing-to-blog-about: Is YouTube really worth a billion dollars? Mark Cuban says no. Newsweek isn’t sure. Others say focus on the technology.
    I’m going to suggest a different angle. I found out YouTube’s of…

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