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	<title>mathewingram.com/work &#187; rumour</title>
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	<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work</link>
	<description>... at the intersection of media, technology, business and the web</description>
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		<title>Digg: Takeover rumours refuse to die</title>
		<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2008/03/07/digg-takeover-rumours-refuse-to-die/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2008/03/07/digg-takeover-rumours-refuse-to-die/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 08 Mar 2008 03:04:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mathew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Digg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Social networks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rumour]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2008/03/07/digg-takeover-rumours-refuse-to-die/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As I think many people probably expected, the Digg takeover rumours have turned out to be totally untrue &#8212; or have they? According to Jay Adelson at least, they are completely false. The Digg co-founder says the company is &#8220;focused on improving Digg and rolling out great features,&#8221; which is pretty much the same thing [...]]]></description>
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<p>As I think many people probably expected, the Digg takeover rumours have turned out to be totally untrue &#8212; or have they? According to Jay Adelson at least, they <a href="http://blog.digg.com/?p=114">are completely false</a>. The Digg co-founder says the company is &#8220;focused on improving Digg and rolling out great features,&#8221; which is pretty much the same thing he said when he was asked the question during Digg&#8217;s recent &#8220;town hall&#8221; Q &#038; A session. But Mike Arrington isn&#8217;t backing down &#8212; he says his source on the story is very good and he <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2008/03/07/google-microsoft-bidding-for-digg/">sticks by his report</a> that Digg is talking to either Google or Microsoft or both.</p>
<p>Could Jay be telling the truth and yet still working on a sale of Digg? Sure he could. As Peter Kafka <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/3/digg__seriously__we_re_not_selling___yet">notes at Silicon Alley Insider</a>, the Digg denial didn&#8217;t say that the company wasn&#8217;t for sale, and it didn&#8217;t deny that Google and/or Microsoft were talking to the company &#8212; it just said that reports of a bidding war between the two were false. Companies do this all the time: deny that anything is happening, in as vague a way as possible, right up until the thing actually happens. Steve Jobs is a master of this. Remember &#8220;People will never watch video on a handheld device?&#8221;</p>
<p>So at least for now, the Digg takeover rumours are just as alive as they were before, despite Jay&#8217;s denial. Would Google or Microsoft make a better buyer? I&#8217;m not sure. It would be interesting to see what Google would do with it &#8212; would they integrate it somehow with Google Reader maybe? &#8212; but to me that seems like a stretch. I think Microsoft needs the help more when it comes to getting social networks and recommendation engines and so on. And maybe Kevin will one day actually be worth the $60-million that BusinessWeek <a href="http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/06_33/b3997002.htm">said he was worth</a> way back when.</p>
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		<title>Hey, where&#8217;s my Apple halo?</title>
		<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/06/02/hey-wheres-my-apple-halo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/06/02/hey-wheres-my-apple-halo/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Jun 2006 16:39:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mathew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blogs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[halo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lawsuit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rumour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/06/02/hey-wheres-my-apple-halo/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Remember the &#8220;halo effect?&#8221; That was the term some analysts came up with for the boost in Apple sales that was expected to result from the smash success of the company&#8217;s iPod music and video players. The assumption was that all the love for the iPod would spill over onto the rest of Apple&#8217;s business, [...]]]></description>
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<p>Remember the &#8220;halo effect?&#8221; That was the term some analysts came up with for the boost in Apple sales that was expected to result from the smash success of the company&#8217;s iPod music and video players. The assumption was that all the love for the iPod would spill over onto the rest of Apple&#8217;s business, and that people would be drawn to purchase more Macs and iBooks and so on. There were several <a href="http://www.macobserver.com/article/2005/04/14.3.shtml">articles</a> and analyst <a href="http://www.thestreet.com/_googlen/stocks/troywolverton/10233262.html?cm_ven=GOOGLEN&#038;cm_cat=FREE&#038;cm_ite=NA">reports</a> last year that said the effect seemed to be working &#8212; but now there are numbers that call those early reports into question.</p>
<p>According to <a href="http://www.appleinsider.com/article.php?id=1781">the latest report</a> from Gartner Group &#8212; obtained (ironically) by Apple Insider &#8212; Apple&#8217;s worldwide market share actually <i>dropped</i> in the first quarter of this year, to 2 per cent from 2.2 per cent in the same quarter of 2005. Even in the U.S., the company&#8217;s primary market, its share barely budged during the quarter, remaining more or less flat at 3.6 per cent (Gartner says the company&#8217;s share rose by one-tenth of one per cent). Even if you assume that lots of people held off buying because they were waiting for the new Intel models, that&#8217;s still not a great performance &#8212; and not much evidence of a halo.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re wondering why it&#8217;s ironic that the Gartner report shows up on Apple Insider, it&#8217;s because the blog was one of several <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/news/local/states/california/the_valley/14682069.htm">that were sued</a> for leaking inside information about Apple products &#8212; a lawsuit that Apple just recently lost. Could Apple Insider be feeling a bit of what the Germans call <a href="http://dictionary.reference.com/wordoftheday/archive/2000/05/10.html" target="_blank">schadenfreude</a>?</p>
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		<title>What is the sound of one hand clapping?</title>
		<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/02/27/what-is-the-sound-of-one-hand-clapping/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/02/27/what-is-the-sound-of-one-hand-clapping/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Feb 2006 21:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mathew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[buzz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[device]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Origami]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rumour]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mathewingram.com/work/index.php/2006/02/27/what-is-the-sound-of-one-hand-clapping/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Have you ever noticed how leading up to Macworld there&#8217;s a blizzard of rumour and speculation about what kind of cool new products Apple will release? The rumours are invariably wrong (remember the big-screen TV with a computer in it that one site figured was a shoe-in?), but it makes for fun reading. It looks [...]]]></description>
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<p>Have you ever noticed how leading up to Macworld there&#8217;s a blizzard of rumour and speculation about what kind of cool new products Apple will release? The rumours are invariably wrong (remember the <a href="http://www.powerpage.org/archives/2006/01/exclusive_apple_plasma_displays_to_rock_mwsf_updated.html">big-screen TV with a computer in it</a> that one site figured was a shoe-in?), but it makes for fun reading. It looks as though Microsoft may be taking some lessons from Steve Jobs, the king of buzz-building, with a new portable device that is said to be in the works &#8212; <a href="http://us.gizmodo.com/gadgets/portable-media/rumor-microsoft-teasing-origami-minitablet-157128.php">code-named &#8220;Origami.&#8221;</a></p>
<p>According to several different reports, including one from respected tech site <a href="http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20060226-6268.html">Ars Technica</a>, Origami is a small portable device with a detachable keyboard and a Tablet PC-style screen &#8212; a device that might allow you to take the screen with you and watch movies or listen to music, or perhaps surf the Web, with a keyboard for entering large amounts of data if necessary. There&#8217;s a &#8220;viral marketing&#8221; <a href="http://www.origamiproject.com/1/">website</a> with few details, other than a note that more info will be forthcoming on March 2nd. Coincidentally, Apple is also set to announce something mysterious <a href="http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post/20060221-6230.html">a few days before that</a>.</p>
<p>Some sites have been <a href="http://www.yahoo.weblogsinc.com/2006/02/26/microsofts-origami-project-revealed/">having fun with the idea</a> of Origami, but it seems obvious that something is coming (the original ad for the as-yet-unseen device is gone from the agency&#8217;s website, but video-sharing site YouTube managed to <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rV1WGDW37c0&#038;search=project%20origami">grab a copy</a>). The Scobleizer has <a href="http://scobleizer.wordpress.com/2006/02/26/origamisms/" target="_blank">effectively confirmed</a> the existence of such a device or project, which seems to be more like a mini-Tablet than a video iPod type of device, although he&#8217;s been backpedaling a little on the whole thing. Even the New York Times has picked up on the buzz, with <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2006/02/27/technology/27origami.html?ex=1298696400&#038;en=8701a145ae552165&#038;ei=5088&#038;partner=rssnyt&#038;emc=rss">a piece</a> about the speculation, and the Seattle Post-Intelligencer <a href="http://blog.seattlepi.nwsource.com/microsoft/archives/101700.asp?source=rss">has something too</a>.</p>
<p>Whether the reality of Origami lives up to the buzz, of course, remains to be seen. As my buddy Kent Newsome notes, Microsoft is likely in for a backlash <a href="http://www.newsome.org/2006/02/origami-will-it-walk-walk.shtml">if it isn&#8217;t</a>.</p>
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		<title>Google Pack &#8212; colour me confused</title>
		<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/01/05/google-pack-colour-me-confused/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/01/05/google-pack-colour-me-confused/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jan 2006 04:22:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mathew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Froogle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GooglePack]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GTalk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rumour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WSJ]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mathewingram.com/work/index.php/2006/01/05/google-pack-colour-me-confused/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I don&#8217;t like to think of myself as being a stupid guy, and the billions of dollars that Larry Page and Sergey Brin have would indicate that they aren&#8217;t stupid either, but I have to admit that I share Paul Kedrosky&#8217;s puzzlement about the rumoured Google Pack that Larry is supposed to be announcing at [...]]]></description>
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<p>I don&#8217;t like to think of myself as being a stupid guy, and the billions of dollars that Larry Page and Sergey Brin have would indicate that they aren&#8217;t stupid either, but I have to admit that I share <a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/002337.html">Paul Kedrosky&#8217;s puzzlement</a> about the rumoured Google Pack that Larry is supposed to be announcing at CES &#8212; at least according to <a href="http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB113643814564838423.html">the Wall Street Journal</a>. </p>
<p>What the heck is the point of bundling all that software and branding it as the Google Pack? Sure, <a href="http://getfirefox.com">Firefox</a> is great &#8212; I use it all the time, even though it still has a memory leak problem that drives me nuts. <a href="http://www.ceruleanstudios.com">Trillian</a> is another favourite of mine, and I recommend <a href="http://www.lavasoftusa.com/software/adaware/">Ad-Aware</a> to everyone I know. The pack will also have Google Earth, Google Talk, Desktop etc.</p>
<p>But why Adobe&#8217;s PDF Reader? A nice tool, many people will likely never need it, unless Google has some other plans I don&#8217;t know about. And Real Player from <a href="http://www.real.com">Real Networks</a> is a bloated piece of cling-ware that loads so much crap that I wouldn&#8217;t install it if Larry and Sergey paid me to. As for <a href="http://www.symantec.com/index.htm">Norton Anti-Virus</a>, it used to be a great tool but has become an intrusive irritant for many people I know. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m at a loss to explain what Google hopes to gain. The idea that this bundle is somehow a competitive blow against Microsoft is almost laughable (InsideGoogle is <a href="http://google.blognewschannel.com/index.php/archives/2006/01/05/tell-me-its-not-a-software-bundle/">also bemused</a>). If all you looked at was Google&#8217;s RSS Reader, Orkut, Froogle and even Google Talk (although it&#8217;s still early), you would be right to wonder &#8212; as <a href="http://paul.kedrosky.com/archives/002341.html">Paul does in his poll</a> &#8212; whether the search giant has &#8220;jumped the shark.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Why on earth would Google do a PC?</title>
		<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/01/04/why-on-earth-would-google-do-a-pc/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2006/01/04/why-on-earth-would-google-do-a-pc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2006 01:54:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mathew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Web2.0]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GoogleCube]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GooglePC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rumour]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mathewingram.com/work/index.php/2006/01/04/why-on-earth-would-google-do-a-pc/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There&#8217;s been a mountain of chatter on the Web about rumours that Google might announce a Google PC &#8211; rumours that got a new lease on life from a recent piece in the Los Angeles Times, although they have been around for a while. Those rumours, which have been tracked by CNet, have now been [...]]]></description>
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<p>There&#8217;s been a mountain of chatter on the Web about rumours that Google might announce a Google PC &#8211; rumours that got a new lease on life from a recent piece <a href="http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-predict1jan01,0,3503327.story">in the Los Angeles Times</a>, although they have been around <a href="http://www.mathewingram.com/work/index.php/2005/12/11/is-a-google-pc-a-good-idea/">for a while</a>. Those rumours, which have been <a href="http://news.com.com/2061-10802_3-6016810.html">tracked by CNet</a>, have now been denied by a <a href="http://www.kraneland.com/2006/01/google-cube-google-pc.html">spokesman for the search giant</a>, and by Wal-Mart, which was supposed to be the company&#8217;s partner (along with Wyse Technologies).</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a tempting rumour in part because people seem to lust for a strong competitor for Microsoft &#8211; and what better competitor than a cash-rich company with a great brand and a market value that is <a href="http://screen.finance.yahoo.com/b?pr=5/&#038;mc=10000000000/&#038;z=mc&#038;db=stocks&#038;vw=1&#038;b=21">bigger than Coca-Cola</a> and Cisco Systems, and just behind IBM? A little Google cube with a version of Linux on it and some Web-based office software <a href="http://www.techshout.com/internet/2006/04/google-to-design-a-cut-price-pc-having-its-own-operating-system/">sounds so great</a>, doesn&#8217;t it?</p>
<p>The only downside is that it seems like a pretty stupid idea in a lot of ways, as <a href="http://techdirt.com/articles/20060104/1258203_F.shtml">Carlo at TechDirt</a> and <a href="http://battellemedia.com/archives/002186.php">John Battelle</a> have both noted. Why should Google bother selling such a system, when it can just avoid all the cost and hassle by distributing software that does the same thing on other people&#8217;s computers? I just don&#8217;t see the point. Neither does <a href="http://saunderslog.com/2006/01/04/google-cube-remember-mike-cowpland/">Alec Saunders</a>, (who invokes the ghost of Michael Cowpland).</p>
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