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	<title>mathewingram.com/work &#187; new york times</title>
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		<title>NYT: Revenue plummets, debt is junk</title>
		<link>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2008/10/23/nyt-revenue-plummets-debt-is-junk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.mathewingram.com/work/2008/10/23/nyt-revenue-plummets-debt-is-junk/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Oct 2008 03:51:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mathew</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[new york times]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.mathewingram.com/work/?p=3177</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Is the New York Times running on fumes, as Henry Blodget says at Silicon Alley Insider? I would argue that it&#8217;s probably even worse than that. It&#8217;s not just running out of gas &#8212; it&#8217;s only firing on one or two cylinders, the points and plugs are shot and the coolant system is about to [...]]]></description>
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<p>Is the New York Times <a href="http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/10/new-york-times-nyt-running-on-fumes">running on fumes</a>, as Henry Blodget says at Silicon Alley Insider? I would argue that it&#8217;s probably even worse than that. It&#8217;s not just running out of gas &#8212; it&#8217;s only firing on one or two cylinders, the points and plugs are shot and the coolant system is about to blow. In its <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/081023/earns_new_york_times.html?.v=8">most recent results</a>, the newspaper company reported that its cash flow (earnings before interest, taxes, etc.) fell by more than 50 per cent, advertising revenues collapsed by double digits, and its debt has <a href="http://www.editorandpublisher.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003877601">just been rated</a> &#8220;below investment grade&#8221; &#8212; or what is known in the investment business as &#8220;junk&#8221; &#8212; by the Standard &#038; Poor&#8217;s bond-rating agency.</p>
<p><span id="more-3177"></span></p>
<p>Ad revenues for the company&#8217;s traditional media operations, including the New York Times newspaper, fell by 14 per cent in September. Ad revenues for the online operations, including <a href="http://About.com" title="http://About.com" target="_blank">About.com</a>, climbed by 14.5 per cent &#8212; but those operations still only account for 12 per cent of the business. The bottom line: Online ad revenues in the year to date climbed by about $10-million to $79-million, but ad revenues for the company&#8217;s traditional businesses fell by about $200-million to $1.2-billion. Even if online ad revenues were to increase ten-fold, it still wouldn&#8217;t make a dent in those losses. Classified sales alone were down <em>by 25 per cent</em>.</p>
<p>In just the last six months, the company&#8217;s stock price has fallen by 50 per cent, to a recent close of about $10, making the New York Times Co. worth $1.5-billion instead of $3-billion. In 2004, the company was worth more than $6.5-billion. In other words, in the past five years the Times has lost over 75 per cent of its value. The ironic thing, of course, is that the newspaper&#8217;s website and web operations have become more and more successful, with traffic exploding ever since it removed the pay wall that used to enclose its columnists and other features. </p>
<p>According to Nielsen Online, the paper <a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/081023/20081023005644.html">had 20 million</a> unique visitors in September, an increase of about 37 per cent over the same period last year. When <a href="http://Boston.com" title="http://Boston.com" target="_blank">Boston.com</a> and <a href="http://About.com" title="http://About.com" target="_blank">About.com</a> are included, it had about 50 million unique visitors, which makes it one of the largest Web media properties around. But no matter how quickly it grows, it&#8217;s still not enough to stem the relentless tide of red ink coming from the newspaper side.</p>
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